There’s a meme circulating accusing Bibi Netanyahu of getting advance information of the Hamas assault. In response to this narrative, Bibi let it occur, believing it could be Israel’s Sep 11 and that he may rally assist for this divided authorities. I don’t purchase it. Why? First, as a result of he needed to make offers with political opponents as a way to type a authorities I discover it laborious to consider that these of us would associate with this type of rip-off. Second, there are lots of people in Mossad, Shin Wager (aka Israeli Safety Company) and Unit 8200 who don’t like Netanyahu and would rat him out in a heartbeat if he pulled a stunt like this. Third, however all of his flaws, I don’t consider Bibi is the type of man who would knowingly enable the homicide of kids, ladies and aged. So what the hell occurred?
Hamas is old skool in relation to plotting and planning. The Hamas leaders, I’m informed, shrink back from social media, computer systems, good telephones and textual content messages (even WhatsAp and Sign). The do the planning and scheming in particular person or through couriers with hand written paperwork. How do you get that info? You need to recruit a spy — somebody who’s a part of the community who will comply with rat on his pals. Regardless of a status for having fairly a secure of human property in terrorist teams, it seems Israel got here up dry with a Hamas supply.
There’s a report that Egypt might have warned Israel. I discover that believable. That implies that Mossad didn’t discover the report credible or ignored it. That does occur in these intelligence organizations. However that isn’t some evil plot, that’s good, old school human incompetence.
Netanyahu and his cohorts are behaving like Volodymyr Zelensky by speaking overtly about their intention to ship a floor drive into the Gaza Strip and to wipe out Hamas. It’s at all times higher to not telly your enemy and the world what you’re desiring to do. The Russians, in contrast, are fairly good at protecting their enjoying playing cards hidden and never tipping their hand.
Israel would possibly need to rethink its plan to bomb the Gaza Strip right into a smoldering pile of rubble. The Nazis did that to Stalingrad within the early days of their assault on that metropolis and created obstacles that prevented their tanks from maneuvering and supplied the Soviets lined defensive positions. I ponder if Israeli planners are contemplating the chance that Hamas is hoping to ambush Israeli tank columns from protected bunkers? Aerial and artillery bombardment gives no assure that bolstered defensive positions will likely be destroyed.
Lastly, Biden ordered USS Gerald Ford Service Strike Group (CSG) to hover off the Israeli coast. The final time the USA did one thing like this was in 1983, when the civil battle in Lebanon raged. That didn’t end up nicely for the Reagan Administration. When the USA intervened by firing on Hezbollah positions within the Beqaa Valley, Iran retaliated by blowing up the Marine barracks and the U.S. Embassy. These two terrorist assaults killed 258 Marines and U.S. diplomats. If the U.S. engages Hamas targets that is more likely to provoke a terrorist marketing campaign directed towards U.S. installations within the Center East and Southwest Asia.
I focus on these points, in addition to the battle in Ukraine, with Stephen Gardner and Michael Savage.